Statistics of Russian IT specialists at stackoverflow.com and github.com

I greet all the ladies, gentlemen, and those who identify themselves in the two above categories.

By the will of a changing fate, I sometimes have to conduct all kinds of analyzes of all kinds of data for all kinds of organizations. And now I would like to share with you part of one of these analyzes.

The question was approximately as follows - what is the degree of presence and influence of Russian IT specialists (permanently residing in Russia, of course) on the global IT community?

Here is the part of the analysis that speaks about the influence of Russian IT-specialists (they include all those who are interested in IT in general) on the world community based on the analysis of the two largest international IT-communities - stackoverflow.com and github.com.

And here is the analysis itself:

The audience of the Stackoverflow project is 3 580 212 registered users (2014), GitHub - 3 955 191 registered users (2014). For the Stackoverflow community, statistics were analyzed for 2013 and 2014, for GitHub - for 2012, 2013 and 2014. The statistics are not complete, since not all users specify the country of residence (about 25% for Stackoverflow and about 70% for GitHub did not indicate the country of residence), however, the available data are enough to understand the general situation and the ratios.

Stackoverflow


The users who indicated Russia as their country of residence were 11,319, which is 0.38% of the total number of users. Considering that about 25% of users do not indicate the country of residence, it can be assumed that the real number of Russians on this resource may be in the region of 15,000 users, or about 0.42% of the total number of users. At the same time, the share of unique unregistered visitors with Russian IP addresses on the resource for 2014 amounted to about 1.6% (11th place) of the total number of unique unregistered visitors (for comparison, the Netherlands - 1.75%, Brazil - 2.3%, India - 12.5%, China - 1.46%).

According to the total number of registered users, Russia is in the top 10 of Stack Overflow (data for 2014):

No.The countryNumber of users
1USA253452
2India67297
3Great Britain33395
4Germany19706
5Canada16685
6China14234
7Australia12592
8Brazil12325
9France12217
10Russia11319

There is a “reputation” system on this resource. Users with a high reputation score are considered the most competent. We have chosen a reputation threshold of 1000 to analyze the most competent and influential users of the resource.

Total users with a reputation score of more than 1000 - 68044, which is 1.9% of the total number of users.

In 2014, users who indicated the country of residence of Russia and had a reputation of more than 1000 - 800 people, which is 1.18% of the total number of users with a reputation of more than 1000.

In 2013, users who indicated Russia as the country of residence and had a reputation of more than 1000, there were 447 people, which amounted to approximately 1.25% of the total number of users indicating the country of residence, in the amount of 35786 people.

Comparison table of the top 10 countries and the number of registered users with a reputation of more than 1000 for 2013 and 2014:

No.20132014
The countryNumber of usersThe countryNumber of users
1USA9592USA~ 18000
2Great Britain2906Great Britain4182
3India2005India3460
4Germany1461Germany2434
5Canada1397Canada1995
6Australia1260Australia1612
7France724France1178
8Sweden637Netherlands1075
9Russia447Sweden880
10Poland439Russia800


Github


As of July 2012, 6,826,827 commits were made on the resource. Users who indicated Russia as their country of residence made about 1.8% of the total number of commits (10th place, for comparison: Brazil - 1.9%, France - 2.7%, Japan - 3.8%).

As of 2013, users who indicated their place of residence (about 26% of all users) made about 28.5 million commits (about 44% of the total number of commits of 65,000,000). Russians are responsible for approximately 3.5% of this number of commits (8th place, for comparison: Brazil - 3%, France - 4.5%, Japan - 4%). At the same time, about 3% of the total number of Internet users in the Russian Federation is registered on the resource (9th place, for comparison: Brazil - 4%, France - 4.5%, Japan - 2.5%).

For 2014, the situation is such that out of about 1050,000 active users who indicate their place of residence (out of a total of 3955191 users), Russians make up 1.5% (16319 active users), while among the most influential users (the influence criterion is the presence of more 10 followers) the share of Russians is 0.91% (in absolute numbers - 719 out of 78,470)

Top 10 countries by the number of active users:

No.The countryNumber of users (out of 1050,000 people)
1USA176910
2Great Britain34628
3China32009
4Germany28341
5India25761
6France18549
7Canada16539
8Russia16319
9Japan16020
10Australia14565


Top 10 countries by the number of active influential users:

No.The countryNumber of users (out of 78,470 people)
1USA14675
2Great Britain2659
3China2548
4Germany2226
5Japan1708
6France1257
7Brazil1160
8Canada1068
9Australia977
10Russia719


Conclusions and assumptions:

1. The proportion of influential IT specialists from Russia (living in Russia) in the global IT community is consistently about 1%.

2. The proportion of Russians (living in Russia) who are interested in the IT field (including influential specialists) in the global IT community is about 1.5%, they produce about 2-3% of all content.

3. Ignorance or lack of knowledge of the English language can be a serious barrier to increasing the degree of presence of Russian IT-specialists on the world stage. This conclusion can be made on the basis that the share of registered users from Russia on Stackoverflow, where knowledge of the English language at least at the intermediate level (B1-B2) is absolutely necessary, is less than 0.5%. At the same time, the share of registered Russian users on GitHub, where knowledge of English is necessary only at the initial level (A0-A2), is about 1.5%.

4. Although users from Russia are among the top 10 of these resources in absolute terms, relative indicators (such as, for example, the number of users per 100,000 population or the number of commits per 100,000 population) lag behind other countries. For example, (data for 2012) the number of commits on GitHub per 100,000 people for Russia is 88 (for comparison, Ukraine is 143, Belarus is 247, Estonia is 697, Switzerland is 1437).

In general, somehow, ladies and gentlemen. Who is to blame and what to do?

UPD: if interested, then a more complete version, taking into account the conclusions of the discussion in the comments, is published here (attention, external link!)

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