25 Predictions of Cisco Chief Futurologist

On the occasion of Cisco’s 25th anniversary, Dave Evans, chief futurist at Cisco IBSG Consulting, has unveiled its forecast for future technology development. Dave is a frequent visitor to US television and radio stations; his forecasts are readily published by publications such as the Financial Times and Forbes magazine.

In his opinion:

• By 2029, a storage system with a capacity of 11 petabytes will be available for $ 100. This amount of electronic memory will be enough to play DVD-quality video around the clock for more than 600 years.
• In the next 10 years, the data transfer rate in home networks will increase by 20 times.
• By 2013, the monthly volume of traffic in wireless networks will be 400 petabytes (today all global network traffic is 9 exabytes per month).
• By the end of 2010, for every inhabitant of our planet there will be a billion transistors worth one millionth of an American cent each.
• The Internet is evolving to such an extent that it can support instant communications regardless of distance.
• The first commercial quantum computer will appear by mid-2020.
• By 2020, a personal computer worth one thousand US dollars in its computing power will be equal to the human brain.
• By 2030, the computing power of a personal computer worth one thousand US dollars will be equal to the mental ability of the population of the whole village.
• By 2050, if by that time the population of our planet will be 9 billion people, the power of a computing device worth one thousand US dollars will be equal to the computing power of all mankind.
• Today we know 5 percent of what we will know in 50 years. In other words, 95 percent of the knowledge that will be available to people by 2060 will be the result of discoveries made over the next 50 years.
• In the next 2 years, the volume of information in our world will increase six times a year, and the volume of corporate data in the same period will increase 50 times a year.
• By 2015, Google will index approximately 775 billion pages of content.
• By 2015, humanity will annually create content that is 92.5 million times the amount of information stored in the library of Congress.
• By 2020, every inhabitant of our planet will on average store 130 terabytes of personal data (today this amount is 128 gigabytes).
• By 2015, the volume of downloaded movies and files exchanged between users will increase to 100 exabytes, which is 5 million times the amount of information stored in the Library of Congress.
• By 2015, video calling will be ubiquitous, and it will generate 400 exabytes of traffic, which is 20 million times the amount of information stored in the library of Congress.
• By 2015, the amount of data that will be generated by telephone, Internet, email, photo and music files will be 50 exabytes.
• Over the next two years, the amount of information on the World Wide Web will double every 11 hours.
• By the beginning of 2010, 35 billion different devices will be connected to the Network, i.e. almost 6 devices for every inhabitant of our planet.
• By 2020, more devices than people will work on the Internet.
• With the introduction of IPv6, so many email addresses will appear on the Internet that 4.8 trillion addresses can be provided to each of the stars known to mankind in the universe.
• By 2020, each electronic device will have a universal application for translation from other languages.
• After 5 years, any surface will be able to perform the functions of a display.
• By 2025, the first cases of particle-level teleportation will appear.
• By 2030, it will be possible to implant artificial tissue into the human brain.

Source: cisco | com