August 4, 2010 at 04:32CiscoSystems Chief Futurologist Talks About Internet of Things and Technologies in General in New Video
On a habr predictions of Dave Evans about the imminent (and not so) future of computing systems were already published .
Now, a futurist with 20 years of experience at CiscoSystems made no less impressive statements
(video summary):
For example, he believes that within 50 years, humanity will receive full-fledged speech analyzers and some “thinking machines” ( one can only guess what is hidden behind these words).
Evans draws our attention to quantum computing and gives an example of the effectiveness of quantum computers:
It is on these principles that “thinking computers” should be built.
For several decades, a person will be able to recreate any part of his body, with the help of which it will be possible to treat cancer and fight old age.
Dave several times dwelled on the essence of technical forecasting and talked about the features of the work of a futurologist, and also noted the need to live more accurately and prudently to prevent such phenomena as global warming and environmental pollution.
After the question “When will computers take over the world?” The futurologist remarked that, figuratively speaking, they had already done so. Moreover, he apparently meant that computers surround us everywhere and their disappearance, perhaps, would put mankind on its knees.
Evans went on to say more about the Internet of Things concept. He showed that this thought has every opportunity to become a reality. at the moment, only 25% of the world's population has access to the Internet, while the things that can be connected to the network are about 35 billion, which exceeds the world's population by more than 5 times (as of January 1, 2010).
An example of the use of the structure of the “Internet of things” for predicting climate change was immediately presented. Each device equipped with temperature and other sensors can transmit information to data centers, which will help to more accurately predict weather changes. Moreover, things connected to the Internet can not only help a person by providing additional information, but also work more efficiently by exchanging it with each other (which is very important for smart home systems, etc.).
To the question “Will human computers be replaced?” The futurologist replied that, whatever the technological advances of mankind, they would not be able to completely replace humans. But as before, the development of civilization helps a person to focus on more “advanced” things - new research, etc.
Dave also notes the rapid increase in the amount of information on the network, citing truly amazing numbers (for example, 20 hours of video are uploaded to youtube every minute), but also draws our attention to the fact that an increase in the amount of information does not always lead to an increase in the amount of knowledge. And the more difficult it is to get this knowledge, the more information you have to process. This topic, by the way, is very relevant. Especially for Habrahabr.
In conclusion, to the question “How can technology help the environment?” Evans hastened to explain that technology in itself is not evil, but only a tool created by man himself. This tool can help us understand how certain things work, help to more accurately analyze the processes of nature and, as a result, make more efficient use of environmental resources.
Video duration - 31 minutes. 42 sec
Language - English
Actually, a video
from Aunt Cisco from the video repeatedly notes that the company will be glad to any questions regarding the technical future that can be sent to them by e-mail, twitter or facebook.
Evans December predictions
Dave Evans biography
pdf Talk2Cisco channel on
ustream.tv CiscoSystems facebook
page Twitter: Dave Evans , Talk2Cisco , CiscoSystems
Good luck and speedy execution of predictions!
Now, a futurist with 20 years of experience at CiscoSystems made no less impressive statements
(video summary):
For example, he believes that within 50 years, humanity will receive full-fledged speech analyzers and some “thinking machines” ( one can only guess what is hidden behind these words).
Evans draws our attention to quantum computing and gives an example of the effectiveness of quantum computers:
If you take 5 thousand planets the size of the Earth and cover them with ordinary computers, then the resulting system will be comparable in computing power to a quantum computer the size of an atom.
It is on these principles that “thinking computers” should be built.
For several decades, a person will be able to recreate any part of his body, with the help of which it will be possible to treat cancer and fight old age.
Dave several times dwelled on the essence of technical forecasting and talked about the features of the work of a futurologist, and also noted the need to live more accurately and prudently to prevent such phenomena as global warming and environmental pollution.
After the question “When will computers take over the world?” The futurologist remarked that, figuratively speaking, they had already done so. Moreover, he apparently meant that computers surround us everywhere and their disappearance, perhaps, would put mankind on its knees.
Evans went on to say more about the Internet of Things concept. He showed that this thought has every opportunity to become a reality. at the moment, only 25% of the world's population has access to the Internet, while the things that can be connected to the network are about 35 billion, which exceeds the world's population by more than 5 times (as of January 1, 2010).
An example of the use of the structure of the “Internet of things” for predicting climate change was immediately presented. Each device equipped with temperature and other sensors can transmit information to data centers, which will help to more accurately predict weather changes. Moreover, things connected to the Internet can not only help a person by providing additional information, but also work more efficiently by exchanging it with each other (which is very important for smart home systems, etc.).
To the question “Will human computers be replaced?” The futurologist replied that, whatever the technological advances of mankind, they would not be able to completely replace humans. But as before, the development of civilization helps a person to focus on more “advanced” things - new research, etc.
Dave also notes the rapid increase in the amount of information on the network, citing truly amazing numbers (for example, 20 hours of video are uploaded to youtube every minute), but also draws our attention to the fact that an increase in the amount of information does not always lead to an increase in the amount of knowledge. And the more difficult it is to get this knowledge, the more information you have to process. This topic, by the way, is very relevant. Especially for Habrahabr.
In conclusion, to the question “How can technology help the environment?” Evans hastened to explain that technology in itself is not evil, but only a tool created by man himself. This tool can help us understand how certain things work, help to more accurately analyze the processes of nature and, as a result, make more efficient use of environmental resources.
Video duration - 31 minutes. 42 sec
Language - English
Actually, a video
from Aunt Cisco from the video repeatedly notes that the company will be glad to any questions regarding the technical future that can be sent to them by e-mail, twitter or facebook.
Evans December predictions
Dave Evans biography
pdf Talk2Cisco channel on
ustream.tv CiscoSystems facebook
page Twitter: Dave Evans , Talk2Cisco , CiscoSystems
Good luck and speedy execution of predictions!