Steve Jobs is trying to invent Dynabook again!

    In 2009, we can witness the birth of a new generation of devices - Apple iDynabook communicators! Just as Apple invented the Personal Computer in the late 1970s, a brand new device can be born today that embodies the once fantastic ideas invented in the Xerox PARC laboratory : It was the head of the Xerox research laboratory that Alan Key put forward in 1968. the idea of ​​creating a Dynabook portable computing machine "the size of a notebook with a flat monitor and able to connect to networks wirelessly"!
    And Steve Jobs mentioned more than once that this idea shocked and captured them so much that almost all Apple's developments gradually brought the world closer to the realization of this idea. Dynabook

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    “Alan Key outlined his Dynabook concept in an article on Personal Dynamic Media (IEEE Computer, 1977, v. 3, No. 10, p. 31). It was completely new that Dynabook was not considered as a computing device, but as a media tool for a lay user. Kay described it as a portable interactive device with a flat-panel touch screen, wireless communication system and multimedia capabilities. The principle of WYSIWYG (what you see is what you get), text editors and a drawing system was assumed here.
    They say that Kay was a very addicted person: he was so carried away by Dynabook that in terms of importance he equated it with Gutenberg's invention.
    For this machine of the future, the Star GUI graphic interface was designed and modeled, which included all the elements we are familiar with today - windows, icons, menus and much more. The Star GUI is the prototype of the Apple Macintosh.
    The Dynabook project was never completed, but the justification for its existence was proved by the impact it had on the future. True, there was one attempt to implement “in hardware” - under the name Alto based on the Nova minicomputer, and then Dorado.
    The closest practical successors to Dynabook were Knowledge Navigator (Apple, 1987) and Newton, developed at Apple under the leadership of John Sculley. ”

    When Apple bought PA Semi (see: “Apple buys PA Semi”), then some experts were surprised because PA Semi is still developing the PowerPC CPU architecture, which Apple abandoned in 2005. But even then, rumors spread that the new Apple division, formed from the company PA Semi, will develop a new generation of processors based on the ARM architecture (see: “Secret deal Apple, Samsung and Imagination” ). Now these rumors and conjectures have finally been confirmed, see: "The head of Apple chip developers about the next generation of the iPhone ..." .
    Modern Apple iPhone uses 667 MHz Samsung S3C6400 processors based on the ARM1176JZF architecture developed by ARM (see: “iPhone processor: 620MHz ARM CPU”) And in future generations of the iPhone, there will be a CPU, possibly manufactured in the factories of the same Samsung (because Apple does not have its own factories for the production of CPUs), but completely developed already by the engineering team of Apple itself (and of course the marking on it will have its own, t .e the processor will be called, well, for example Apple iARM 2K).
    And the question is, what will Apple benefit from this? What Apple do not like processors from Samsung, based on the architecture of ARM11? Indeed, for modern iPhone communicators, the power of the Samsung S3C6400 processor is quite enough. Well, in the future, because progress does not stand still, new versions of Samsung's CPU with higher frequencies will appear, and with such a performance that for a phone, it will always be enough.

    So what are the characteristics of this future processor (Apple iARM 2K). The fact is that the team that develops it was created by the famous Dan Dobberpool, thanks to whose efforts in the mid-90s, there were such iconic and life-changing processors as DEC Alpha 64-bit and DEC StrongArm , and thanks to which in February 2007 the world was Introduced 2GHz, 64-bit dual-core PowerPC microprocessor with a unique combination of performance and energy efficiency.
    In 1995, a team led by Dan Dobberpool developed a unique DEC StrongArm SA-110 CPU with a frequency of 233 MHz, while in 1995 all other CPUs based on the ARM architecture were developed at a frequency of 30 - 50 MHz, and even the development of the powerful Intel - Pentium in 1995 reached a frequency of 100 - 120 MHz. Those. 13 years ago, DEC StrongArm can be said to be a revolutionary development that surpassed all competitors in performance by 2 to 4 times. So in the next 2009, the Apple team to develop a new CPU could theoretically make a revolution by introducing, for example, a 2-core processor with a frequency of 2 - 3 GHz based on the ARM architecture! And such a CPU in terms of performance will probably be comparable with the latest Intel developments such as Core i7
    And, as I think, this is the only logical explanation for the acquisition of PA Semi: that today, in the modern CPU market, no vendor just has an ARM architecture CPU, with performance comparable to ordinary Intel-based laptops, and Apple wants to get just such a chip, and since no one can give it to them, they decided to make it themselves :)

    Why does Apple need such a powerful CPU? Obviously, this is an application for the use of the future Apple iARM 2K CPU not only, and not so much in the new iPhone models, although of course they will not be forgotten about them, and they will have a special energy-efficient version of the CPU on 1 core and with a frequency of 1 GHz. But Apple’s new CPU may appear in some new device - the Apple iTablet device, which has been rumored for a long time (see:“Mac + iPhone = iTablet Communicator” ).
    Just to create Apple iTablet, another embodiment of Alan Kay’s Dynabook idea “in hardware”, Apple probably needed to buy PA Semi for almost $ 300 million, and it was for him that it became necessary to start developing his own microprocessor on his own. But all this is true if we assume that Apple decided to use iTablet or maybe just call it Apple iDynabook, an ARM architecture CPU (the same architecture as the iPhone CPU), and not Intel's standard CPU architecture for modern laptops!

    Why can’t I use Intel chips for the Apple iDynabook communicator? In principle, it is possible, but for a compact notepad device that resembles Alan Kay’s Dynabook, probably only the Intel Atom CPU is suitable, and it is known for its unhurriedness compared to ordinary laptops. And Apple apparently wants to offer the market a fundamentally new device - which technically will not be inferior to conventional laptops in anything, but will have an additional advantage in the form of the iTouch interface! And besides, the development of this device is a development of the iPhone line - iPod touch, i.e. Apple fundamentally does not want to make some analogue of a regular Notebook without a keyboard, but wants to offer the market a new device in which Alan Kay’s idea will be implemented, the main meaning of which is that Dynabook is not considered as a computing device, but as a media tool for a lay user! And also, Apple introducing a new device to the market, apparently wants to do so that there would be as few fakes as possible, and thus creating a fundamentally new architecture, it is protected from the huge market of iDynabook-clones. This is Apple’s usual logic - “think differently”, which has already let Apple down with Macintosh’s experience - starting the first Apple gradually lost the market to PC clones. And if Apple does not agree to license Apple iDynabook, then again similar devices, for example, based on Google Android, may appear over time (Google Director Eric Schmidt dreams of a similar device - see: and thus creating a fundamentally new architecture, it is protected from the huge market of iDynabook-clones. This is Apple’s usual logic - “think differently”, which has already let Apple down with Macintosh’s experience - starting the first Apple gradually lost the market to PC clones. And if Apple does not agree to license Apple iDynabook, then again similar devices, for example, based on Google Android, may appear over time (Google Director Eric Schmidt dreams of a similar device - see: and thus creating a fundamentally new architecture, it is protected from the huge market of iDynabook-clones. This is Apple’s usual logic - “think differently”, which has already let Apple down with Macintosh’s experience - starting the first Apple gradually lost the market to PC clones. And if Apple does not agree to license Apple iDynabook, then again similar devices, for example, based on Google Android, may appear over time (Google Director Eric Schmidt dreams of a similar device - see:“All media are on one hard drive, all songs and books are in one device!” )

    If all that I assumed so, then the future Apple iDynabook will be based on a powerful processor with ARM architecture and Apple iPhoneOS X operating system and most likely Apple will try to promote this new device as a complete replacement for current Laptops and even desktop PCs. And this will mean a gradual decline of the era of ordinary Personal Computers, both the Apple Macintosh with the Apple MacOS X operating system, and the PC under MS Windows. Perhaps in the future Apple will develop a version of its classic MacOS X operating system only for Server, and for ordinary users various devices based on the new Apple iPhoneOS X operating system will be sold.

    Yes, this is a very revolutionary step, and this step can both bring Apple a complete victory in the IT market, and a complete fiasco. But turning back to the history of Apple and knowing that the revolutionary Steve Jobs is still at the helm of this corporation, we can safely assume that only Apple is capable of such a revolutionary step - to throw away familiar personal computers into history and offer to replace them with a new revolutionary device - Apple iDynabook Communicator. Which technically will not be inferior to conventional laptops in anything, but will have an additional advantage in the form of the iTouch interface. True, as a side effect of Apple’s next revolution, iDynabook will essentially not be compatible with both Intel’s familiar hardware and MacOS X’s familiar software environment. Although this is not fatal, since Apple MacOS X and Apple iPhoneOS X have the same foundation and Apple can certainly offer developers tools that can quickly transfer their programs from Apple MacOS X to the new Apple iPhoneOS X OS (which is already done using the iPhone SDK). And of course, over the next few years, Apple will manufacture and sell regular laptops and desktops with the familiar Apple MacOS X installed on them. But still, for sure, Apple will try to show both users and developers from the very beginning that the future is new Apple iDynabook, and the era of standard PCs (Personal Computers) is already ending :) who can quickly transfer their programs from Apple MacOS X to the new Apple iPhoneOS X OS (which is already done with the iPhone SDK). And of course, over the next few years, Apple will manufacture and sell regular laptops and desktops with the familiar Apple MacOS X installed on them. But still, for sure, Apple will try to show both users and developers from the very beginning that the future is new Apple iDynabook, and the era of standard PCs (Personal Computers) is already ending :) who can quickly transfer their programs from Apple MacOS X to the new Apple iPhoneOS X OS (which is already done with the iPhone SDK). And of course, over the next few years, Apple will manufacture and sell regular laptops and desktops with the familiar Apple MacOS X installed on them. But still, for sure, Apple will try to show both users and developers from the very beginning that the future is new Apple iDynabook, and the era of standard PCs (Personal Computers) is already ending :)

    PS: Many were outraged that the article expressed an opinion about the decline of the Personal Computer (PC) era, and I want to clarify my understanding of the processes occurring in the IT market:

    I think ordinary PCs over time (and this process has been growing for a long time) will turn into Workers stations - WorkStation - was once such a term!
    A modern 4 or 8 core PC like Apple Mac Pro 8-cores is essentially a WorkStation.
    For example, everyone knows that IBM has stopped production of PCs, but not everyone knows that they successfully continue to produce and sell WorkStation ( www-03.ibm.com/systems/intellistation/?cm_re=masthead-_-products-_-workstations )
    In the 80s - 90s of the XX century, the WorkStations market was an elite product, when Silicon Graphics Workstations were the leaders in this market (ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/SGI ) and then such computers cost from $ 10 thousand and more.
    Today, in fact, the WorkStation market is captured by Intel_x86-Based computers and SGI has not released its WorkStations for more than 5 years, but only deals with servers.

    Over time, it’s possible that WorkStation as well as PCs will cease to exist, and Personal Servers (PS) or Home Servers (HS) will take their place - on which professionals will work with complex programs such as: 3D modeling, various CADs, Digital Video Processing, Accounting, Book Layout, Programming, etc.
    And in fact, now many of the types of programs I have listed have already moved to the server, and the PC serves only as the Interface to these server programs.
    Well, you must admit that an iPhone-like tablet can also cope with the role of the interface :)
    And who can stop Apple from releasing, for example, an iPhone-like tablet 30 inches in size, so that it is connected to a personal (home) Apple Mac Pro server 32-cores, on which professional calculations will be made!

    Many well-known IT-ki say that the market is waiting and ready to accept a fundamentally new gadget, only partially resembling a modern PC.
    There are a lot of drawbacks in modern PCs, for example: Laptops are heavy, bulky, and quickly consume battery, and many are no longer satisfied with this, and that is why small, light and cheap NetBooks were so unexpectedly popular!
    Many people need a PC just for reading electronic books, viewing I-net, photos, music and video, and for a little editorial work on this listed content. And an iPhone-like gadget can handle this all, but in a slightly larger format than the iPhone itself :)

    And watching Apple from the late 1980s, I have repeatedly been convinced that Apple is very fond of shocking people with some kind of revolution:
    Part of These revolutions have benefited companies, for example, the Apple iPod, which is essentially a revolution in the music business that has changed the rules of the game and Apple has managed to occupy a monopoly position in this market.
    Some of the revolutions were not successful, for example, Apple Newton, but also this device opened a new market for other devices with similar functions.

    Well, and according to some statements by Steve Jobs himself and a number of Apple executives that Apple is developing amazing and amazing things, we can conclude that Apple is preparing to release another revolutionary device that will not be like everyone else and is likely to create a new one market :)
    And what will come of it? - We'll see ...

    PPS (from 10.24.2008): The
    latest news that has appeared indirectly confirms my assumptions put forward in this article, see:
    1) “They will install a processor from a smartphone on netbooks”
    2) “Read by lips: Apple is doing it no-beech ”
    3) “ Results of Q4'08 under the microscope. Details, details, nuances " :
    "... Newfangled netbooks were honored with the Jobs characteristic“ nascent class of devices ”, which Apple CEO immediately opposed the iPhone with similar functionality and a reduced form factor. However, in fact, Cupertino’s asset already has a number of“ netbook ”developments that will go into business as demand for such devices grows, questions about potential Apple tablets have been categorically denied. "

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