Why I do not believe in the possibility of creating AI in the foreseeable future

    Imagine that in some miraculous way the computer of an extraterrestrial civilization appeared to us. We found it, and saw that there is a program that displays “Hello, world!” On the screen.

    We really liked this program, and we immediately decided to write the same one. They fought, fought, programmed, programmed, tried all languages ​​and platforms - it doesn’t work. And on the enemy’s piece of iron, as luck would have it, there are no USB ports and no debugger-decompilers can be launched.

    And then we decided: let's go, so to speak, brute force. They brought a bunch of equipment and began to study alien technology. Well there, the pickups are different, X-ray to shine through. It seems to be about to finally compile a complete list of instructions of the enemy processor, study the entire architecture, and ...

    And what about “and”? Well, even compose, study - how does this help to write "Hello world"? If we couldn’t write it with our .NETs and vedvanols, how will the list of microcommands of an alien processor help us?

    And, if anything, the complexity of the “Hello world” program refers to the complexity of studying an unknown architecture using non-contact methods in much the same way as the complexity of human intelligence to the complexity of modeling the entire human brain.

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