May 21, 2009 at 16:01Why is it important to start your startup on time
Who managed, he ate. And it doesn’t matter, we are talking about people, bacteria or startups.
But it’s still interesting to know why this is the case, and why often not the strongest, but the fastest wins.
(from this place - a direct reprint of a fragment of this useful material )
It is known that the growth dynamics of the number of bacteria on the nutrient medium is also well described by the S-curve (Figure 21):
Figure 21 Growth in the number of bacteria
The experiments showed that at first the bacteria needed some time to adapt to new conditions, so they multiply quite slowly, then, having adapted, they show an avalanche-like growth until they fill all the available space. At this point, the size of the colony stabilizes until the nutrients run out or the environment is oversaturated with waste products. From this moment, the number of bacteria decreases until extinction.
In addition, it turned out that each type of bacterium has its own characteristic adaptation time (similar to the length of the first stage of a vehicle ( Technical System, approx. DPihto)) and its maximum achievable number (similar to the development limit in terms of the main indicators of the TS). So, the most interesting thing began when two different types of bacteria were simultaneously placed in one Petri dish. The result is shown in Figure 22:
Figure 22 Growth in the number of bacteria (2 types of populations)
As you can see, type A had a very large growth potential, but a rather long adaptation period. Type B, on the contrary, was very adaptable, but had very modest potential. And it was he who won the struggle for resources! While his more promising competitor was slowly preparing to unfold in all its splendor, he quickly jumped to the stage of rapid growth and captured the entire living space. As a result, species A was completely oppressed and extinct, far behind the winner and never realized his outstanding abilities.
Apparently, similar events unfold in the world of technology. It is clear that the system, the first to break into the market, at the expense of resources that have become available to it, is rapidly improving its main indicators and becoming difficult to reach for competitors. Moreover, it quickly occupies the most easily accessible niches, draws attention to itself and the resources of society, a certain infrastructure begins to take shape around it, i.e. gain inertia, sweeping competitors. As a result, the development of outsiders is inhibited (they simply don’t give money), and they either have to die completely, or wait for the moment when the lucky winner runs out, and their remarkable potential will finally be in demand.
* * *
I think we can independently transfer these observations to the situation with startups.
But it’s still interesting to know why this is the case, and why often not the strongest, but the fastest wins.
(from this place - a direct reprint of a fragment of this useful material )
It is known that the growth dynamics of the number of bacteria on the nutrient medium is also well described by the S-curve (Figure 21):
Figure 21 Growth in the number of bacteria
The experiments showed that at first the bacteria needed some time to adapt to new conditions, so they multiply quite slowly, then, having adapted, they show an avalanche-like growth until they fill all the available space. At this point, the size of the colony stabilizes until the nutrients run out or the environment is oversaturated with waste products. From this moment, the number of bacteria decreases until extinction.
In addition, it turned out that each type of bacterium has its own characteristic adaptation time (similar to the length of the first stage of a vehicle ( Technical System, approx. DPihto)) and its maximum achievable number (similar to the development limit in terms of the main indicators of the TS). So, the most interesting thing began when two different types of bacteria were simultaneously placed in one Petri dish. The result is shown in Figure 22:
Figure 22 Growth in the number of bacteria (2 types of populations)
As you can see, type A had a very large growth potential, but a rather long adaptation period. Type B, on the contrary, was very adaptable, but had very modest potential. And it was he who won the struggle for resources! While his more promising competitor was slowly preparing to unfold in all its splendor, he quickly jumped to the stage of rapid growth and captured the entire living space. As a result, species A was completely oppressed and extinct, far behind the winner and never realized his outstanding abilities.
Apparently, similar events unfold in the world of technology. It is clear that the system, the first to break into the market, at the expense of resources that have become available to it, is rapidly improving its main indicators and becoming difficult to reach for competitors. Moreover, it quickly occupies the most easily accessible niches, draws attention to itself and the resources of society, a certain infrastructure begins to take shape around it, i.e. gain inertia, sweeping competitors. As a result, the development of outsiders is inhibited (they simply don’t give money), and they either have to die completely, or wait for the moment when the lucky winner runs out, and their remarkable potential will finally be in demand.
* * *
I think we can independently transfer these observations to the situation with startups.