What is appropriate to pay attention to in the report “2012 Internet Trends (Update)”, leafing through it in its entirety

    Four days ago (December 3, 2012), KPCB (Kleiner, Perkins, Cofield and Byers) published the 2012 Internet Trends (Update) report, which contains a number of additions to the May 2012 Internet Trends of the same name . Look here:


    It seemed to me important to look through this report on Habrahabr, because the information and diagrams on some of its 88 pages are likely to be informative and useful to readers of Habrahabr. Below I will list them in more detail.

    On the ninth page, note that Apple tablets are much more popular than Apple mobile phones.

    On the tenth page, note that Android phones are almost six times more popular than iPhone.

    On the eleventh page, the ratio of the number of smartphones and other mobile phones is graphically presented; it is 1: 5.

    On the fifteenth page, mobile traffic is reported: it is already é13% of all Internet traffic. (And in India he surpassed it, as shown on the next page.)

    On the twenty-second page begins the story of the rapid changes in everyday life caused by the proliferation of mobile devices. It is most impressed by the diagram on page 24, which clearly shows that the dominance of the WinTel platform in the market is over: ≈ half of the computers sold (if you count the tablets) operate under Android or iOS, and not Windows. On page 25 it is shown: if we compare the sales of mobile phones + tablets with the sales of desktops + laptops, then the first presented the second in the fourth quarter of 2010. If, instead of sales, the total number of devices on hand is taken into account, then the predominance of mobile phones and tablets has not yet been achieved, but is expected in the second quarter of the future (2013).

    On page 28 it is reported that in 2002 the number of mobile phones exceeded the number of landline phones (more precisely, the number of landline telephone lines - some of them could theoretically be connected not to phones, but to modems, fax machines , etc.).

    On page 32, it is reported that in 2008 the number of smartphone sales exceeded the number of sales of individual cameras.

    On the forty-sixth page all of you in the bad sense will surely be amused by the person who leads the finger on the touch screen, signing the document. (“And they call this an electronic signature?”) In terms of fierce primitiveness, this is quite comparable, for example, with the British decree of 1865 that the speed of self-moving carts (or cars) should not exceed 4 miles per hour in rural areas and 2 miles per hour in cities, and sixty yards ahead of them must certainly be a man with a red flag (at night - with a flashlight) to alert riders or horse-drawn carts to the approach of a self-propelled cart.

    On the sixtieth page, a demonstration of the virtues of an “easy” lifestyle begins, in which a person refuses to own real books, sound recordings, videos in favor of digital ownership (and not even ownership, but leasing), relies on paid home, car care services , clothes, and so on, lives in rented housing, often does not have a car, uses delivery services instead of shopping, uses a mobile phone instead of a wallet, and freelance instead of permanent employment ...

    Among the top ten pages you can find indications of some problems. On page 79, it says about the growth (by an order of magnitude) of US students ’arrears in tuition fees, and on page 82 that the current difference between US spending and income is comparable only to periods of world wars (First and Second). And on page 84 there is an even more ominous financial forecast, but for 2025, so that by then everything could change more than once.

    In conclusion, I will say that a good half of the pages of the report, to which I paid attention and needed to retell them, were quoted by BizDev in the blog postMary Meeker annual report on network trends: The share of Android + iOS shipments is growing (45% against 35 % on Windows)», Which I also recommend to your attention. But I find it extremely useful to scroll through the entire report as a whole.

    Also popular now: